Johor Darul vs Kuala Lumpur Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Malaysia - Super League Regular Season - 24 Sultan Ibrahim Stadium· Johor Bahru Saturday, May 2, 2026 12:15

Johor Darul PPG 2.82

7-0 MISS

Kuala Lumpur PPG 2.20

Draw· +41.0% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Johor Darul face Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Johor Darul a 70% chance, the draw 19% and Kuala Lumpur 11%, so Johor Darul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Johor Darul and 1.0 for Kuala Lumpur (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Johor Darul are averaging 2.82 points per game versus 2.20 for Kuala Lumpur. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +41.0%. This match finished 7-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 69.7%

Odds: 1.14 EV: -20.5%

Draw 18.8%

Odds: 7.50 EV: +41.0%

Away 11.4%

Odds: 12.00 EV: +36.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 67.5% Odds: 1.36 -8.2%

Over 3.5 45.9% Odds: — —

BTTS 58.1% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 3-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Johor Darul

2.51

Kuala Lumpur

0.97

Model SuggestionHome -20.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-20.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 71%

BTTS/No 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -3.6%

Bet Hit 60% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.82) > Away EXCELLENT (2.20)