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Johor Darul vs Kuala Lumpur Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 24 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:15

Johor Darul

PPG 2.82 · HOME

7 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Kuala Lumpur

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 69.7% vs bookmaker-implied 87.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-13.0%0-21.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.7%1-17.5%1-23.6%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.7%2-19.4%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.1%3-17.9%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-09.3%4+-19.0%4+-24.4%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.7% 87.7% 1.14 -20.5%

Draw 18.8% 13.3% 7.50 +41.0%

Away win 11.4% 8.3% 12.00 +36.8%

Over 2.5 67.5% 73.5% 1.36 -8.2%

Over 3.5 45.9% — — —

BTTS 58.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 7-0

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.1%

H 70% / xG 2.5-1.0 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–1 7.5%

#4 3–0 8.1%

#5 3–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Johor Darul2.5

Kuala Lumpur1.0

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.5% · O3.5 PROB 45.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JOHOR DARUL · PPG 2.82

KUALA LUMPUR · PPG 2.20

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.82) > Away EXCELLENT (2.20)

Win probability 1X2

Johor Darul (H) 69.7%

ODDS 1.14 · IMPLIED 87.7% EV -20.5%

Draw 18.8%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV +41.0%

Kuala Lumpur (A) 11.4%

ODDS 12.00 · IMPLIED 8.3% EV +36.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Johor Darul face Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Johor Darul a 70% chance, the draw 19% and Kuala Lumpur 11%, so Johor Darul are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Johor Darul and 1.0 for Kuala Lumpur (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Johor Darul are averaging 2.82 points per game versus 2.20 for Kuala Lumpur. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +41.0%. This match finished 7-0.

Johor Darul vs Kuala Lumpur Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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