Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 75.2% Odds: 1.30 -2.2%
Over 3.5 55.3% Odds: 1.77 -2.1%
BTTS 68.0% Odds: 1.55 +5.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 3-1 ✘
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -2.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value STRONG_HOME Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.59) - Strong consensus