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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 36 Sportclub Arena· Verl Saturday, May 2, 2026 12:00
Verl logo Verl PPG 2.00
4-0 MISS
Havelse logo Havelse PPG 0.59
Away· +49.2% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.9%
Odds: 1.25 EV: -17.6%
Draw 18.8%
Odds: 5.80 EV: +9.0%
Away 15.3%
Odds: 9.75 EV: +49.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 75.2% Odds: 1.30 -2.2%
Over 3.5 55.3% Odds: 1.77 -2.1%
BTTS 68.0% Odds: 1.55 +5.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 3-1
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Verl
2.66
Havelse
1.27

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-2.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.00), Away POOR (0.59) - Strong consensus

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