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Schweinfurt vs 1860 Munchen Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Regular Season - 36 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Schweinfurt

PPG 0.88 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

1860 Munchen

PPG 1.24 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-19.1%0-27.9%0-34.6%0-4+2.9%1 1-06.4%1-111.1%1-29.6%1-35.5%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.9%2-16.7%2-25.8%2-33.3%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.6%3-12.7%3-22.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 25.1% 23.8% 4.20 +5.4%

Draw 27.0% 25.3% 3.95 +6.7%

Away win 47.9% 57.8% 1.73 -17.1%

Over 2.5 56.3% 65.4% 1.53 -13.9%

Over 3.5 33.9% 42.6% 2.35 -20.3%

BTTS 59.4% 66.7% 1.50 -10.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 4.5%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob59.4%

A 48% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.6%

#3 0–2 7.9%

#4 0–1 9.1%

#5 0–0 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schweinfurt1.2

1860 Munchen1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHWEINFURT · PPG 0.88

1860 MUNCHEN · PPG 1.24

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.88) vs Away AVERAGE (1.24)

Win probability 1X2

Schweinfurt (H) 25.1%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +5.4%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +6.7%

1860 Munchen (A) 47.9%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -17.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Schweinfurt face 1860 Munchen in Germany - 3. Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schweinfurt a 25% chance, the draw 27% and 1860 Munchen 48%, so 1860 Munchen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Schweinfurt and 1.7 for 1860 Munchen (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schweinfurt are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.24 for 1860 Munchen. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +6.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Schweinfurt vs 1860 Munchen Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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