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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 36 Ludwigspark Stadion· Saarbrücken Saturday, May 2, 2026 12:00
Saarbrucken logo Saarbrucken PPG 1.65
2-0 HIT CS4
Mannheim logo Mannheim PPG 1.06
Away· +7.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.4%
Odds: 1.83 EV: -18.8%
Draw 26.6%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +3.7%
Away 29.0%
Odds: 3.70 EV: +7.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.0% Odds: 1.48 -11.2%
Over 3.5 37.6% Odds: 2.15 -19.2%
BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.42 -10.5%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-0
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Saarbrucken
1.73
Mannheim
1.37

Model Suggestion

BTTS -10.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+7.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.65) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

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