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Germany - 3. Liga logo Germany flag Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 36 Jahnstadion Regensburg· Regensburg Saturday, May 2, 2026 12:00
Regensburg logo Regensburg PPG 1.59
2-1 HIT CS2
Hoffenheim B logo Hoffenheim B PPG 1.18
Away· +4.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.3%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -15.4%
Draw 25.1%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -4.6%
Away 32.6%
Odds: 3.20 EV: +4.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 67.0% Odds: 1.45 -2.9%
Over 3.5 45.3% Odds: 2.10 -4.9%
BTTS 68.7% Odds: 1.38 -5.2%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Regensburg
1.84
Hoffenheim B
1.61

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+4.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 65%
Score Hit 30%
ROI 12.3%
Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.59) > Away AVERAGE (1.18)

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