Alemannia A. vs Hansa Rostock Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Germany - 3. Liga Regular Season - 36 New Tivoli· Aachen Saturday, May 2, 2026 12:00

Alemannia A. PPG 1.47

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Hansa Rostock PPG 1.82

Away· +10.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Alemannia A. face Hansa Rostock in Germany - 3. Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alemannia A. a 33% chance, the draw 27% and Hansa Rostock 40%, so Hansa Rostock are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Alemannia A. and 1.7 for Hansa Rostock (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alemannia A. are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.82 for Hansa Rostock. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 33.0%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -27.4%

Draw 26.8%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +4.5%

Away 40.2%

Odds: 2.75 EV: +10.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.8% Odds: 1.48 -10.0%

Over 3.5 38.4% Odds: 2.15 -17.4%

BTTS 64.2% Odds: 1.40 -10.1%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Alemannia A.

1.49

Hansa Rostock

1.65

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+10.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 65%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 12.3%

Bet Hit 67% (12 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.47) vs Away GOOD (1.82)