Today / Germany - 3. Liga / Alemannia A. vs Hansa Rostock

Alemannia A. vs Hansa Rostock Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Matchday 36 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Alemannia A.

PPG 1.47 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDWW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hansa Rostock

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLDWW

// Model verdict

BTTS 69% chance

Model probability 64.2% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-17.2%0-25.9%0-33.3%0-4+2.0%1 1-06.4%1-110.6%1-28.8%1-34.8%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.8%2-17.9%2-26.5%2-33.6%2-4+2.2%3 3-02.4%3-13.9%3-23.2%3-31.8%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.0%4+-21.7%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.0% 45.5% 2.20 -27.4%

Draw 26.8% 25.6% 3.90 +4.5%

Away win 40.2% 36.4% 2.75 +10.5%

Over 2.5 60.8% 67.6% 1.48 -10.0%

Over 3.5 38.4% 46.5% 2.15 -17.4%

BTTS 64.2% 71.4% 1.40 -10.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 16.0%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob64.2%

A 40% / xG 1.5-1.7 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.6%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 0–0 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Alemannia A.1.5

Hansa Rostock1.7

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.8% · O3.5 PROB 38.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ALEMANNIA A. · PPG 1.47

HANSA ROSTOCK · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

Chance this pick lands

69%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.47) vs Away GOOD (1.82)

Win probability 1X2

Alemannia A. (H) 33.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -27.4%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +4.5%

Hansa Rostock (A) 40.2%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +10.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Alemannia A. face Hansa Rostock in Germany - 3. Liga on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alemannia A. a 33% chance, the draw 27% and Hansa Rostock 40%, so Hansa Rostock are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Alemannia A. and 1.7 for Hansa Rostock (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alemannia A. are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.82 for Hansa Rostock. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +10.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Alemannia A. vs Hansa Rostock Prediction— Germany - 3. Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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