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Odishi 1919 vs Gareji Sagarejo Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 12:00

Odishi 1919

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Gareji Sagarejo

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-114.4%0-27.1%0-32.3%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.7%1-113.5%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.4%2-16.3%2-23.1%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.0%3-12.0%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.9% — — —

Draw 35.6% — — —

Away win 33.5% — — —

Over 2.5 30.4% — — —

Over 3.5 13.0% — — —

BTTS 40.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 57%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob40.3%

D 36% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.5%

#2 1–1✓ 13.5%

#3 0–1 14.4%

#4 1–0 13.7%

#5 0–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odishi 19190.9

Gareji Sagarejo1.0

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.4% · O3.5 PROB 13.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ODISHI 1919 · PPG 2.00

GAREJI SAGAREJO · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.75)

Win probability 1X2

Odishi 1919 (H) 30.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 35.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gareji Sagarejo (A) 33.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Odishi 1919 face Gareji Sagarejo in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odishi 1919 a 31% chance, the draw 36% and Gareji Sagarejo 34%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.9 for Odishi 1919 and 1.0 for Gareji Sagarejo (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odishi 1919 are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Gareji Sagarejo. This match finished 1-1.

Odishi 1919 vs Gareji Sagarejo Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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