Today / Malaysia - Super League / Sabah vs PDRM

Sabah vs PDRM Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 24 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 11:30

Sabah

PPG 0.70 · HOME

5 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

PDRM

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.0% vs bookmaker-implied 80.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-14.1%0-22.4%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.7%1-18.9%1-25.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.4%2-19.8%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.1%3-17.1%3-24.1%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-16.5%4+-23.8%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.4% 89.3% 1.12 -33.5%

Draw 22.7% 14.8% 6.75 +53.2%

Away win 18.0% 5.9% 17.00 +206.0%

Over 2.5 65.0% 80.0% 1.25 -18.8%

Over 3.5 43.1% 60.6% 1.65 -28.9%

BTTS 62.3% 54.1% 1.85 +15.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.3%

H 59% / xG 2.2-1.2 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.4%

#4 3–1 7.1%

#5 1–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sabah2.2

PDRM1.2

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SABAH · PPG 0.70

PDRM · PPG 0.40

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.70), Away POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

Sabah (H) 59.4%

ODDS 1.12 · IMPLIED 89.3% EV -33.5%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 6.75 · IMPLIED 14.8% EV +53.2%

PDRM (A) 18.0%

ODDS 17.00 · IMPLIED 5.9% EV +206.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sabah face PDRM in Malaysia - Super League on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sabah a 59% chance, the draw 23% and PDRM 18%, so Sabah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Sabah and 1.2 for PDRM (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sabah are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 0.40 for PDRM. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +206.0%. This match finished 5-1.

Sabah vs PDRM Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Malaysia - Super League Predictions