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Germany - 2. Bundesliga logo Germany flag Germany - 2. Bundesliga Regular Season - 32 Holstein-Stadion· Kiel Saturday, May 2, 2026 11:00
Holstein Kiel logo Holstein Kiel PPG 1.27
2-0 HIT CS5
Braunschweig logo Braunschweig PPG 0.93
Draw· +0.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%
Odds: 2.20 EV: -1.0%
Draw 29.1%
Odds: 3.45 EV: +0.4%
Away 25.9%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -19.7%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.4% Odds: 1.80 -11.1%
Over 3.5 27.5% Odds: 2.95 -18.9%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.60 -12.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Holstein Kiel
1.53
Braunschweig
1.12

Model Suggestion

BTTS -12.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.27) > Away POOR (0.93)

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