West Adelaide vs NE MetroStars Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 8 Kilburn Sportsplex· Adelaide Saturday, May 2, 2026 08:30

West Adelaide PPG 1.67

3-3 MISS

NE MetroStars PPG 2.33

Home· +25.0% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

West Adelaide face NE MetroStars in Australia - South Australia NPL on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives West Adelaide a 25% chance, the draw 24% and NE MetroStars 51%, so NE MetroStars are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for West Adelaide and 2.1 for NE MetroStars (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, West Adelaide are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 2.33 for NE MetroStars. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +25.0%. This match finished 3-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.0%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +25.0%

Draw 23.7%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -0.5%

Away 51.3%

Odds: 1.44 EV: -26.1%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.5% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 47.0% Odds: — —

BTTS 68.2% Odds: 1.50 +2.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

West Adelaide

1.44

NE MetroStars

2.09

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 63%

Score Hit 23%

ROI -30.0%

Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs Home GOOD (1.67)