Altona Magic vs Dandenong City Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL

Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 11 Saturday, May 2, 2026 08:15

Altona Magic PPG 0.20

1-0 MISS

Dandenong City PPG 1.00

Over2.5· -2.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Altona Magic face Dandenong City in Australia - Victoria NPL on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Altona Magic a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Dandenong City 38%, so Dandenong City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Altona Magic and 1.5 for Dandenong City (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Altona Magic are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 1.00 for Dandenong City. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.7%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -4.6%

Draw 27.8%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -4.1%

Away 37.5%

Odds: 2.25 EV: -15.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.1% Odds: 1.70 -2.9%

Over 3.5 34.7% Odds: 2.75 -4.6%

BTTS 61.5% Odds: 1.55 -4.7%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Altona Magic

1.46

Dandenong City

1.52

Model SuggestionBTTS -4.7% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.7% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 43%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 8.3%

Bet Hit 60% (20 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs Home POOR (0.20)