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Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 8 Frank Mitchell Park Saturday, May 2, 2026 07:30
FK Beograd logo FK Beograd PPG 1.33
3-1 HIT CS5
Adelaide Comets logo Adelaide Comets PPG 0.33
Home· +10.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 68.1%
Odds: 1.62 EV: +10.3%
Draw 19.7%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -25.1%
Away 12.2%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -46.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 65.9% Odds: —
Over 3.5 44.0% Odds: —
BTTS 57.9% Odds: 1.44 -16.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-1
4th 3-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

FK Beograd
2.42
Adelaide Comets
0.97

Model Suggestion

Home +10.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
68%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.33), Away POOR (0.33) - Strong consensus

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