North Geelong vs Brunswick City Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 11 Saturday, May 2, 2026 07:00

North Geelong PPG 1.80

1-0 MISS

Brunswick City PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

North Geelong face Brunswick City in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives North Geelong a 40% chance, the draw 21% and Brunswick City 39%, so North Geelong are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for North Geelong and 2.2 for Brunswick City (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 81% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, North Geelong are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.33 for Brunswick City. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 21.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 38.9%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 82.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 65.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 80.7% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 3-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

North Geelong

2.25

Brunswick City

2.22

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)