Sturt Lions vs Adelaide Utd B Prediction & Tips

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Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 8 Karinya Reserve Saturday, May 2, 2026 05:30

Sturt Lions PPG 1.50

2-3 MISS

Adelaide Utd B PPG 1.25

Home· +16.5% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 44.8%

Odds: 2.60 EV: +16.5%

Draw 24.8%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -10.7%

Away 30.4%

Odds: 2.20 EV: -33.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 67.3% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 45.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 68.7% Odds: 1.35 -7.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sturt Lions

1.91

Adelaide Utd B

1.56

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.2% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.2%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.25)