Today / Poland - II Liga - East / Jastrzebie vs Unia Skierniewi

Jastrzebie vs Unia Skierniewi Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 2, 2026, 15:00

Jastrzebie

PPG 0.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Unia Skierniewi

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home POOR (0.29)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.1%0-19.2%0-210.3%0-37.8%0-4+7.5%1 1-03.8%1-18.7%1-29.8%1-37.4%1-4+7.1%2 2-01.8%2-14.1%2-24.6%2-33.5%2-4+3.3%3 3-00.6%3-11.3%3-21.5%3-31.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.1% — — —

Draw 21.2% — — —

Away win 65.7% — — —

Over 2.5 62.1% — — —

Over 3.5 39.9% — — —

BTTS 56.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob56.1%

A 66% / xG 0.9-2.3 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 10.3%

#2 1–1 8.7%

#3 1–2 9.8%

#4 0–1 9.2%

#5 0–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jastrzebie0.9

Unia Skierniewi2.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.1% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JASTRZEBIE · PPG 0.29

UNIA SKIERNIEWI · PPG 2.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home POOR (0.29)

Win probability 1X2

Jastrzebie (H) 13.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Unia Skierniewi (A) 65.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jastrzebie face Unia Skierniewi in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jastrzebie a 13% chance, the draw 21% and Unia Skierniewi 66%, so Unia Skierniewi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Jastrzebie and 2.3 for Unia Skierniewi (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jastrzebie are averaging 0.29 points per game versus 2.07 for Unia Skierniewi.

Jastrzebie vs Unia Skierniewi Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - II Liga - East Predictions