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Santos W vs Internacional W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 19:00

Santos W

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Internacional W

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.7%0-113.5%0-26.7%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.7%1-113.5%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.8%2-16.8%2-23.3%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.3%3-12.3%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.8% 44.4% 2.25 -26.2%

Draw 35.0% 32.3% 3.10 +8.5%

Away win 32.2% 33.3% 3.00 -3.4%

Over 2.5 31.9% 48.8% 2.05 -34.6%

Over 3.5 14.0% 27.4% 3.65 -48.9%

BTTS 41.6% 56.5% 1.77 -26.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob41.6%

D 35% / xG 1.0-1.0 / U2.5 32% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.7%

#2 1–1 13.5%

#3 1–0 13.7%

#4 0–1 13.5%

#5 2–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Santos W1.0

Internacional W1.0

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.9% · O3.5 PROB 14.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SANTOS W · PPG 2.00

INTERNACIONAL W · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.50)

Win probability 1X2

Santos W (H) 32.8%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -26.2%

Draw 35.0%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +8.5%

Internacional W (A) 32.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -3.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Santos W face Internacional W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Santos W a 33% chance, the draw 35% and Internacional W 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 1.0 for Santos W and 1.0 for Internacional W (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Santos W are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Internacional W. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.5%. This match finished 0-3.

Santos W vs Internacional W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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