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Switzerland - Challenge League
Regular Season - 33
Colovray Sports Centre· Nyon
Friday, May 1, 2026
17:30
Stade Nyonnais
PPG 1.19
0-1
HIT CS5
Wil
PPG 0.88
Home· +9.8%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
39.2%
Odds: 2.80
EV: +9.8%
Draw
30.7%
Odds: 3.35
EV: +2.9%
Away
30.1%
Odds: 2.25
EV: -32.3%
Model lean:
BTTS
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
45.6%
Odds: 1.77
-19.3%
Over 3.5
24.2%
Odds: 2.90
-29.8%
BTTS
52.5%
Odds: 1.60
-16.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-0
✘
4th
2-1
✘
5th
0-1
✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Nyonnais
1.35
Wil
1.15
Model Suggestion
BTTS
-16.0%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Home (+9.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.19) > Away POOR (0.88)