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Switzerland - Challenge League logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - Challenge League Regular Season - 33 Colovray Sports Centre· Nyon Friday, May 1, 2026 17:30
Stade Nyonnais logo Stade Nyonnais PPG 1.19
0-1 HIT CS5
Wil logo Wil PPG 0.88
Home· +9.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.2%
Odds: 2.80 EV: +9.8%
Draw 30.7%
Odds: 3.35 EV: +2.9%
Away 30.1%
Odds: 2.25 EV: -32.3%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.6% Odds: 1.77 -19.3%
Over 3.5 24.2% Odds: 2.90 -29.8%
BTTS 52.5% Odds: 1.60 -16.0%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Stade Nyonnais
1.35
Wil
1.15

Model Suggestion

BTTS -16.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+9.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.19) > Away POOR (0.88)

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