Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Match Preview & Prediction

Korona Kielce face Piast Gliwice in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Korona Kielce a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Piast Gliwice 29%, so Korona Kielce are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Korona Kielce and 1.2 for Piast Gliwice (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Korona Kielce are averaging 1.47 points per game versus 1.20 for Piast Gliwice. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +1.2%. This match finished 1-1.