Dziugas Telsiai PPG 1.00
Hegelmann L. PPG 0.50Dziugas Telsiai face Hegelmann L. in Lithuania - A Lyga on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dziugas Telsiai a 46% chance, the draw 32% and Hegelmann L. 22%, so Dziugas Telsiai are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Dziugas Telsiai and 0.9 for Hegelmann L. (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dziugas Telsiai are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Hegelmann L.. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 3-0.
Based on 32 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)