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Lithuania - A Lyga logo Lithuania flag Lithuania - A Lyga Regular Season - 11 Gargzdai stadium· Gargzdai Friday, May 1, 2026 14:00
Banga logo Banga PPG 1.80
2-2 MISS
Kauno Zalgiris logo Kauno Zalgiris PPG 3.00
Draw· +4.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 20.0%
Odds: 5.10 EV: +2.0%
Draw 28.9%
Odds: 3.60 EV: +4.0%
Away 51.0%
Odds: 1.60 EV: -18.4%
Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.1% Odds: 1.93 -13.0%
Over 3.5 23.8% Odds: 3.35 -20.3%
BTTS 49.1% Odds: 1.85 -9.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 0-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Banga
0.91
Kauno Zalgiris
1.57

Model Suggestion

Away -18.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -18.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+4.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 31%
O2.5/Under 44%
BTTS/No 44%
Score Hit 31%
ROI -56.0%
Bet Hit 20% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home GOOD (1.80)

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