Today / South-Africa - 1st Division / Highbury vs Midlands Wand.

Highbury vs Midlands Wand. Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 28 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 13:00

Highbury

PPG 1.46 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Midlands Wand.

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-110.4%0-24.3%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.7%1-113.0%1-25.4%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.8%2-18.1%2-23.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.1%3-13.4%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.4%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.3% 48.8% 2.05 -9.2%

Draw 33.1% 34.5% 2.90 -4.0%

Away win 22.6% 28.6% 3.50 -20.9%

Over 2.5 34.5% 40.0% 2.50 -13.8%

Over 3.5 15.7% — — —

BTTS 42.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob42.1%

H 44% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 12.5%

#3 1–0 15.7%

#4 2–0 9.8%

#5 0–1 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Highbury1.3

Midlands Wand.0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 15.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HIGHBURY · PPG 1.46

MIDLANDS WAND. · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.46) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Highbury (H) 44.3%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -9.2%

Draw 33.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -4.0%

Midlands Wand. (A) 22.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -20.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Highbury face Midlands Wand. in South-Africa - 1st Division on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Highbury a 44% chance, the draw 33% and Midlands Wand. 23%, so Highbury are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Highbury and 0.8 for Midlands Wand. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Highbury are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 0.67 for Midlands Wand.. This match finished 3-1.

Highbury vs Midlands Wand. Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More South-Africa - 1st Division Predictions