Today / FC Schwaig vs Deisenhofen

FC Schwaig vs Deisenhofen Prediction

Bayern Süd - 30 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:30

FC Schwaig logo
FC Schwaig
PPG 1.62 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS
Deisenhofen logo
Deisenhofen
PPG 1.15 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-19.2%0-26.9%0-33.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-07.9%1-111.9%1-28.9%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.1%2-17.7%2-25.8%2-32.9%2-4+1.5%3 3-02.2%3-13.3%3-22.5%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.4%4+-21.1%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 32.7%
Draw 25.2%
Away win 42.2%
Over 2.5 52.9%
Over 3.5 30.6%
BTTS 56.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob56.4%

A 42% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%
#2 0–1 9.2%
#3 1–2 8.9%
#4 1–0 7.9%
#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Schwaig1.3
Deisenhofen1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.9% · O3.5 PROB 30.6%

Form & verdict PPG

FC SCHWAIG · PPG 1.62

DEISENHOFEN · PPG 1.15

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.15)

Win probability 1X2

FC Schwaig (H) 32.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 25.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Deisenhofen (A) 42.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Schwaig face Deisenhofen on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Schwaig a 33% chance, the draw 25% and Deisenhofen 42%, so Deisenhofen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for FC Schwaig and 1.5 for Deisenhofen (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Schwaig are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.15 for Deisenhofen. This match finished 0-0.

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