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Kuching vs Terengganu Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Regular Season - 24 ·Friday, May 1, 2026, 12:15

Kuching

PPG 2.50 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Terengganu

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 52.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-16.3%0-23.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.4%1-111.1%1-25.4%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.8%2-24.8%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.9%3-15.8%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-13.8%4+-21.8%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.3% 52.4% 1.91 +3.7%

Draw 26.7% 29.4% 3.40 -9.2%

Away win 19.0% 29.0% 3.45 -34.4%

Over 2.5 51.5% 58.8% 1.70 -12.4%

Over 3.5 29.4% 37.0% 2.70 -20.6%

BTTS 53.2% 63.7% 1.57 -16.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 70%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.2%

H 54% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 2–1✓ 9.8%

#4 1–0 11.4%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kuching1.8

Terengganu1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.5% · O3.5 PROB 29.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KUCHING · PPG 2.50

TERENGGANU · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.50) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Kuching (H) 54.3%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV +3.7%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.2%

Terengganu (A) 19.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -34.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kuching face Terengganu in Malaysia - Super League on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kuching a 54% chance, the draw 27% and Terengganu 19%, so Kuching are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Kuching and 1.0 for Terengganu (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kuching are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 2.00 for Terengganu. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.7%. This match finished 2-1.

Kuching vs Terengganu Prediction— Malaysia - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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