Wegberg-Beeck vs Duren Prediction

Unknown League Mittelrhein - 23 Waldstadion· Wegberg-Beeck Friday, April 17, 2026 17:30

Wegberg-Beeck PPG 1.73

1-0 HIT CS4

Duren PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Wegberg-Beeck face Duren on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wegberg-Beeck a 66% chance, the draw 19% and Duren 15%, so Wegberg-Beeck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Wegberg-Beeck and 1.0 for Duren (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wegberg-Beeck are averaging 1.73 points per game versus 1.00 for Duren. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 66.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 18.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 15.1%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 42.4% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.3% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Wegberg-Beeck

2.31

Duren

1.01

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.73) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)