← Back to picks 
Northcote City PPG 2.50 
M. Victory B PPG 0.60
Northcote City vs M. Victory B Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2
Northcote City PPG 2.501-0 MISS
M. Victory B PPG 0.60 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Northcote City face M. Victory B in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Friday, May 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Northcote City a 63% chance, the draw 21% and M. Victory B 17%, so Northcote City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Northcote City and 1.2 for M. Victory B (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Northcote City are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.60 for M. Victory B. This match finished 1-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 70.9% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 49.9% Odds: — —
BTTS 65.9% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-1 ✘
2nd 1-1 ✘
3rd 3-1 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Northcote City 2.43
M. Victory B 1.24
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 49 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -40.0%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs P(Home)=62.5%