Today / Victoria H. vs HT16

Victoria H. vs HT16 Prediction

Hamburg - 31 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:30

Victoria H.

PPG 1.86 · HOME

4 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

HT16

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-12.8%0-21.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.4%1-17.0%1-24.6%1-32.0%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.9%2-19.0%2-25.9%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.8%3-17.6%3-25.0%3-32.2%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-06.9%4+-18.9%4+-25.8%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.3% — — —

Draw 17.7% — — —

Away win 18.0% — — —

Over 2.5 74.0% — — —

Over 3.5 53.8% — — —

BTTS 67.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-4

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob67.2%

H 64% / xG 2.5-1.3 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.0%

#2 3–1 7.6%

#3 1–1 7.0%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 2–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Victoria H.2.5

HT161.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VICTORIA H. · PPG 1.86

HT16 · PPG 2.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away EXCELLENT (2.07)

Win probability 1X2

Victoria H. (H) 64.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HT16 (A) 18.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Victoria H. face HT16 on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Victoria H. a 64% chance, the draw 18% and HT16 18%, so Victoria H. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Victoria H. and 1.3 for HT16 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Victoria H. are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 2.07 for HT16. This match finished 4-4.

Victoria H. vs HT16 Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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