Melbourne K. vs Port Melbourne Prediction & Tips

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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 11 Knights Stadium· Melbourne Friday, May 1, 2026 09:30

Melbourne K. PPG 2.60

2-0 HIT MostLikelyScore

Port Melbourne PPG 0.25

Draw· +1.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 70.5%

Odds: 1.33 EV: -6.2%

Draw 21.2%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +1.8%

Away 8.3%

Odds: 6.00 EV: -50.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.7% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: — —

BTTS 40.6% Odds: 1.57 -36.3%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 3-0 ✘

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Melbourne K.

2.06

Port Melbourne

0.60

Model SuggestionHome -6.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -6.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away POOR (0.25) - Strong consensus