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Australia - Victoria NPL 2 logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Regular Season - 11 Knights Stadium· Melbourne Friday, May 1, 2026 09:30
South Melbourne logo South Melbourne PPG 1.50
2-0 HIT CS4
Melbourne C. B logo Melbourne C. B PPG 1.25
Away· +68.0% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.3%
Odds: 1.33 EV: -39.8%
Draw 26.7%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +28.2%
Away 28.0%
Odds: 6.00 EV: +68.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: —
BTTS 62.4% Odds: 1.57 -2.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

South Melbourne
1.74
Melbourne C. B
1.34

Model Suggestion

BTTS -2.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+68.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity
70%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.50), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

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