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Śląsk Wrocław II vs Olimpia Grudziądz Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Matchday 7 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 10:00

Śląsk Wrocław II

PPG 1.23 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLL

UPCOMING

Olimpia Grudziądz

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDWWL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 65% chance

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-15.1%0-24.0%0-32.1%0-4+1.2%1 1-06.1%1-19.5%1-27.4%1-33.9%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.6%2-18.8%2-26.9%2-33.6%2-4+2.0%3 3-03.5%3-15.5%3-24.3%3-32.2%3-4+1.2%4+ 4+-02.5%4+-13.9%4+-23.0%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.9% 29.4% 3.40 +45.9%

Draw 22.7% 30.3% 3.30 -15.0%

Away win 34.4% 54.1% 1.85 -36.4%

Over 2.5 64.6% 65.4% 1.53 -1.2%

Over 3.5 43.9% 44.4% 2.25 -1.2%

BTTS 63.5% 66.7% 1.50 -4.8%

Home O1.5 55.8% 40.0% 2.50 +39.5%

Away O1.5 47.9% 57.8% 1.73 -17.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 77 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 55%

Score Hit 47%

ROI 14.9%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.5%

H 43% / xG 1.9-1.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1 8.8%

#3 1–2 7.4%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 2–0 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Śląsk Wrocław II1.9

Olimpia Grudziądz1.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.6% · O3.5 PROB 43.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ŚLĄSK WROCŁAW II · PPG 1.23

OLIMPIA GRUDZIĄDZ · PPG 1.57

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

65%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.29 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Śląsk Wrocław II (H) 42.9%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +45.9%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -15.0%

Olimpia Grudziądz (A) 34.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -36.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Śląsk Wrocław II face Olimpia Grudziądz in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Śląsk Wrocław II a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Olimpia Grudziądz 34%, so Śląsk Wrocław II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Śląsk Wrocław II and 1.6 for Olimpia Grudziądz (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Śląsk Wrocław II are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 1.57 for Olimpia Grudziądz. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +39.5%.

Śląsk Wrocław II vs Olimpia Grudziądz Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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