Today / Villefranche vs Paris 13 A.

Villefranche vs Paris 13 A. Prediction

Friday, April 17, 2026

Villefranche

PPG 1.53 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Paris 13 A.

PPG 0.77 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-111.5%0-25.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.4%1-113.3%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.3%2-17.8%2-23.6%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-13.0%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 41.1% — — —

Draw 29.7% — — —

Away win 29.1% — — —

Over 2.5 34.8% — — —

Over 3.5 16.0% — — —

BTTS 41.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob41.6%

H 41% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.4%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0 12.3%

#4 0–1 11.5%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Villefranche1.2

Paris 13 A.0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.0%

Form & verdict PPG

VILLEFRANCHE · PPG 1.53

PARIS 13 A. · PPG 0.77

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away POOR (0.77)

Win probability 1X2

Villefranche (H) 41.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Paris 13 A. (A) 29.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Villefranche face Paris 13 A. on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villefranche a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Paris 13 A. 29%, so Villefranche are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Villefranche and 0.9 for Paris 13 A. (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villefranche are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 0.77 for Paris 13 A.. This match finished 3-1.

Villefranche vs Paris 13 A. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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