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Karpaty U19 vs Zorya U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 09:00

Karpaty U19

PPG 1.21 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Zorya U19

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-17.8%0-24.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.0%1-112.1%1-26.6%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.3%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.4%3-14.8%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.0% — — —

Draw 26.1% — — —

Away win 24.9% — — —

Over 2.5 52.6% — — —

Over 3.5 27.3% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

H 49% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 11.0%

#4 0–0 7.1%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karpaty U191.6

Zorya U191.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.3%

Form & verdict PPG

KARPATY U19 · PPG 1.21

ZORYA U19 · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Karpaty U19 (H) 49.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Zorya U19 (A) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Karpaty U19 face Zorya U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karpaty U19 a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Zorya U19 25%, so Karpaty U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Karpaty U19 and 1.1 for Zorya U19 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karpaty U19 are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.50 for Zorya U19. This match finished 1-4.

Karpaty U19 vs Zorya U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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