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Shakhtar U19 vs Kolos U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 09:00

Shakhtar U19

PPG 2.57 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Kolos U19

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-12.2%0-21.2%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.7%1-16.2%1-23.3%1-31.2%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.1%2-18.7%2-24.7%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.6%3-18.2%3-24.4%3-31.6%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-010.6%4+-111.4%4+-26.2%4+-32.2%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.1% — — —

Draw 20.9% — — —

Away win 18.0% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 54.5% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 61% / xG 2.8-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0✓ 8.1%

#4 3–0 7.6%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shakhtar U192.8

Kolos U191.1

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 54.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SHAKHTAR U19 · PPG 2.57

KOLOS U19 · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.57) vs P(Home)=61.1%

Win probability 1X2

Shakhtar U19 (H) 61.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kolos U19 (A) 18.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shakhtar U19 face Kolos U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shakhtar U19 a 61% chance, the draw 21% and Kolos U19 18%, so Shakhtar U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Shakhtar U19 and 1.1 for Kolos U19 (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shakhtar U19 are averaging 2.57 points per game versus 1.21 for Kolos U19. This match finished 2-0.

Shakhtar U19 vs Kolos U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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