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Kryvbas KR U19 vs Shakhtar U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 10:00

Kryvbas KR U19

PPG 1.43 · HOME

1 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Shakhtar U19

PPG 2.64 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.3%0-14.3%0-26.9%0-37.4%0-4+13.4%1 1-01.5%1-14.7%1-27.6%1-38.1%1-4+14.8%2 2-00.8%2-12.6%2-24.2%2-34.5%2-4+8.1%3 3-00.3%3-10.9%3-21.5%3-31.6%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.9% — — —

Draw 20.9% — — —

Away win 65.3% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 62.8% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob59.7%

A 65% / xG 1.1-3.2 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–3✓ 8.1%

#2 1–2 7.6%

#3 0–3 7.4%

#4 0–2 6.9%

#5 1–4 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kryvbas KR U191.1

Shakhtar U193.2

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 62.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KRYVBAS KR U19 · PPG 1.43

SHAKHTAR U19 · PPG 2.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.64) vs Home AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Kryvbas KR U19 (H) 13.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shakhtar U19 (A) 65.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kryvbas KR U19 face Shakhtar U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kryvbas KR U19 a 14% chance, the draw 21% and Shakhtar U19 65%, so Shakhtar U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kryvbas KR U19 and 3.2 for Shakhtar U19 (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-3. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kryvbas KR U19 are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 2.64 for Shakhtar U19. This match finished 1-3.

Kryvbas KR U19 vs Shakhtar U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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