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Rukh U19 vs Oleksandria U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 10:00

Rukh U19

PPG 1.43 · HOME

8 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Oleksandria U19

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.8%0-21.6%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-06.4%1-17.2%1-24.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.3%2-19.2%2-25.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-07.1%3-17.9%3-24.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-08.5%4+-19.5%4+-25.3%4+-32.0%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.0% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 20.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 50.4% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 8-1

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 59% / xG 2.6-1.1 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%

#2 2–0 8.3%

#3 1–1 7.2%

#4 3–1 7.9%

#5 3–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rukh U192.6

Oleksandria U191.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 50.4%

Form & verdict PPG

RUKH U19 · PPG 1.43

OLEKSANDRIA U19 · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.43) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Rukh U19 (H) 59.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Oleksandria U19 (A) 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rukh U19 face Oleksandria U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rukh U19 a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Oleksandria U19 20%, so Rukh U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Rukh U19 and 1.1 for Oleksandria U19 (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rukh U19 are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.86 for Oleksandria U19. This match finished 8-1.

Rukh U19 vs Oleksandria U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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