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Epitsentr U19 vs SK Poltava U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 09:00

Epitsentr U19

PPG 0.36 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

SK Poltava U19

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-17.3%0-23.5%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.2%1-111.8%1-25.7%1-31.8%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.8%2-19.5%2-24.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.3%3-15.1%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-13.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.9% — — —

Draw 25.1% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 51.6% — — —

Over 3.5 26.1% — — —

BTTS 51.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.6%

H 51% / xG 1.6-1.0 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–0 12.2%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 2–1 9.5%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Epitsentr U191.6

SK Poltava U191.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

EPITSENTR U19 · PPG 0.36

SK POLTAVA U19 · PPG 0.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Epitsentr U19 (H) 50.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SK Poltava U19 (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Epitsentr U19 face SK Poltava U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Epitsentr U19 a 51% chance, the draw 25% and SK Poltava U19 24%, so Epitsentr U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Epitsentr U19 and 1.0 for SK Poltava U19 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Epitsentr U19 are averaging 0.36 points per game versus 0.00 for SK Poltava U19. This match finished 2-3.

Epitsentr U19 vs SK Poltava U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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