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Obolon Kyiv U19 vs Cherkasy U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 30 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 10:00

Obolon Kyiv U19

PPG 1.36 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Cherkasy U19

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.1%0-18.3%0-26.8%0-33.7%0-4+2.2%1 1-06.9%1-111.2%1-29.1%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.6%2-17.5%2-26.1%2-33.3%2-4+2.0%3 3-02.1%3-13.4%3-22.8%3-31.5%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.5%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.5% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 40.7% — — —

Over 2.5 59.1% — — —

Over 3.5 34.7% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.7%

A 41% / xG 1.3-1.6 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.2%

#2 1–2 9.1%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 0–2 6.8%

#5 0–0 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Obolon Kyiv U191.3

Cherkasy U191.6

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 34.7%

Form & verdict PPG

OBOLON KYIV U19 · PPG 1.36

CHERKASY U19 · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.36), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Win probability 1X2

Obolon Kyiv U19 (H) 34.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cherkasy U19 (A) 40.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Obolon Kyiv U19 face Cherkasy U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Obolon Kyiv U19 a 35% chance, the draw 25% and Cherkasy U19 41%, so Cherkasy U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Obolon Kyiv U19 and 1.6 for Cherkasy U19 (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Obolon Kyiv U19 are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.43 for Cherkasy U19. This match finished 1-0.

Obolon Kyiv U19 vs Cherkasy U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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