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Veres Rivne U19 vs Metalist U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 09:00

Veres Rivne U19 logo
Veres Rivne U19
PPG 2.21 · HOME
3 – 2
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Metalist U19 logo
Metalist U19
PPG 1.21 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.21) vs P(Home)=53.2%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.1%0-15.6%0-22.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-011.5%1-110.5%1-24.8%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.8%2-19.9%2-24.5%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-06.8%3-16.2%3-22.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.9%4+-14.5%4+-22.1%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 53.2%
Draw 24.7%
Away win 22.1%
Over 2.5 52.6%
Over 3.5 30.8%
BTTS 52.0%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5 69%
BTTS 64%
Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 36%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 3-2
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.0%

H 53% / xG 1.9-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%
#2 2–0 10.8%
#3 1–0 11.5%
#4 2–1 9.9%
#5 0–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Veres Rivne U191.9
Metalist U190.9

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VERES RIVNE U19 · PPG 2.21

METALIST U19 · PPG 1.21

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.21) vs P(Home)=53.2%

Win probability 1X2

Veres Rivne U19 (H) 53.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Metalist U19 (A) 22.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Veres Rivne U19 face Metalist U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Veres Rivne U19 a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Metalist U19 22%, so Veres Rivne U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Veres Rivne U19 and 0.9 for Metalist U19 (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Veres Rivne U19 are averaging 2.21 points per game versus 1.21 for Metalist U19. This match finished 3-2.

PredictVantage

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