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Oleksandria U19 vs Kryvbas KR U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Regular Season - 30 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 10:00

Oleksandria U19

PPG 0.79 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kryvbas KR U19

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-16.5%0-25.2%0-32.8%0-4+1.6%1 1-06.4%1-110.4%1-28.4%1-34.5%1-4+2.6%2 2-05.2%2-18.3%2-26.7%2-33.6%2-4+2.1%3 3-02.7%3-14.4%3-23.6%3-31.9%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.5%4+-22.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.1% — — —

Draw 25.5% — — —

Away win 37.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 40.0% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob59.7%

A 37% / xG 1.6-1.6 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 8.4%

#3 2–1 8.3%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 0–0 4.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oleksandria U191.6

Kryvbas KR U191.6

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

OLEKSANDRIA U19 · PPG 0.79

KRYVBAS KR U19 · PPG 0.86

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.79), Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

Oleksandria U19 (H) 37.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kryvbas KR U19 (A) 37.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Oleksandria U19 face Kryvbas KR U19 in Ukraine - U19 League on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oleksandria U19 a 37% chance, the draw 26% and Kryvbas KR U19 37%, so Kryvbas KR U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Oleksandria U19 and 1.6 for Kryvbas KR U19 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oleksandria U19 are averaging 0.79 points per game versus 0.86 for Kryvbas KR U19. This match finished 3-2.

Oleksandria U19 vs Kryvbas KR U19 Prediction— Ukraine - U19 League

Match Preview & Prediction

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