Today / Hearts W vs Partick T. W

Hearts W vs Partick T. W Prediction

Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Hearts W

PPG 2.25 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Partick T. W

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.25), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-10.3%0-20.1%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-03.6%1-11.4%1-20.3%1-30.0%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.9%2-13.2%2-20.6%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.6%3-14.6%3-20.9%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-043.2%4+-117.2%4+-23.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 79.3% — — —

Draw 16.5% — — —

Away win 4.2% — — —

Over 2.5 78.4% — — —

Over 3.5 70.8% — — —

BTTS 46.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 76%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)4.4 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob46.1%

H 79% / xG 4.4-0.4 / O2.5 78% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 4–0 12.8%

#2 3–0 11.6%

#3 5–0 11.3%

#4 2–0 7.9%

#5 4–1 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hearts W4.4

Partick T. W0.4

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.4% · O3.5 PROB 70.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HEARTS W · PPG 2.25

PARTICK T. W · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.25), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hearts W (H) 79.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Partick T. W (A) 4.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hearts W face Partick T. W on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hearts W a 79% chance, the draw 17% and Partick T. W 4%, so Hearts W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 4.4 for Hearts W and 0.4 for Partick T. W (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 4-0. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hearts W are averaging 2.25 points per game versus 0.75 for Partick T. W. This match finished 0-2.

Hearts W vs Partick T. W Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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