Today / A. Contractors vs Ghazl El M.

A. Contractors vs Ghazl El M. Prediction

Tuesday, April 28, 2026

A. Contractors
PPG 0.93 · HOME
1 – 1
FULL TIME
Ghazl El M.
PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-026.0%0-120.0%0-27.7%0-32.0%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.0%1-111.6%1-24.5%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-04.3%2-13.3%2-21.3%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.8%3-10.6%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.2%
Draw 40.4%
Away win 31.5%
Over 2.5 24.2%
Over 3.5 4.8%
BTTS 39.6%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob39.6%

D 40% / xG 0.6-0.8 / U2.5 24% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 26.0%
#2 0–1 20.0%
#3 1–1 11.6%
#4 1–0 15.0%
#5 0–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Contractors0.6
Ghazl El M.0.8

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 24.2% · O3.5 PROB 4.8%

Form & verdict PPG

A. CONTRACTORS · PPG 0.93

GHAZL EL M. · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

A. Contractors (H) 28.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 40.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Ghazl El M. (A) 31.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Contractors face Ghazl El M. on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Contractors a 28% chance, the draw 40% and Ghazl El M. 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for A. Contractors and 0.8 for Ghazl El M. (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 24% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Contractors are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.00 for Ghazl El M.. This match finished 1-1.

PredictVantage

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