Today / ZED FC vs Pharco

ZED FC vs Pharco Prediction

Tuesday, April 28, 2026

ZED FC

PPG 1.58 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Pharco

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-17.6%0-21.5%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-024.0%1-19.6%1-21.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-015.1%2-16.0%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-06.3%3-12.5%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-11.0%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.6% — — —

Draw 33.3% — — —

Away win 17.1% — — —

Over 2.5 35.9% — — —

Over 3.5 8.7% — — —

BTTS 39.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob39.6%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.4 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 24.0%

#2 0–0 19.1%

#3 2–0 15.1%

#4 1–1 9.6%

#5 3–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ZED FC1.3

Pharco0.4

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.9% · O3.5 PROB 8.7%

Form & verdict PPG

ZED FC · PPG 1.58

PHARCO · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.58) vs P(Home)=49.6%

Win probability 1X2

ZED FC (H) 49.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pharco (A) 17.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

ZED FC face Pharco on Tuesday, April 28, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ZED FC a 50% chance, the draw 33% and Pharco 17%, so ZED FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for ZED FC and 0.4 for Pharco (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ZED FC are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 0.62 for Pharco. This match finished 1-0.

ZED FC vs Pharco Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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