Today / Brazil - Brasileiro Women / Palmeiras W vs Santos W

Palmeiras W vs Santos W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 8 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 23:00

Palmeiras W

PPG 2.50 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Santos W

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 65.4% vs bookmaker-implied 77.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-11.4%0-20.7%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.6%1-14.6%1-22.3%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.6%2-17.5%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.2%3-18.2%3-24.0%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-015.3%4+-115.1%4+-27.5%4+-32.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.4% 77.5% 1.29 -15.6%

Draw 20.5% 20.8% 4.80 -1.6%

Away win 14.1% 12.5% 8.00 +12.8%

Over 2.5 64.8% — — —

Over 3.5 61.4% — — —

BTTS 58.5% 57.1% 1.75 +2.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob58.5%

H 65% / xG 3.3-1.0 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.2%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 7.6%

#4 2–1 7.5%

#5 4–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Palmeiras W3.3

Santos W1.0

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.8% · O3.5 PROB 61.4%

Form & verdict PPG

PALMEIRAS W · PPG 2.50

SANTOS W · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.67) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Palmeiras W (H) 65.4%

ODDS 1.29 · IMPLIED 77.5% EV -15.6%

Draw 20.5%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -1.6%

Santos W (A) 14.1%

ODDS 8.00 · IMPLIED 12.5% EV +12.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Palmeiras W face Santos W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Palmeiras W a 65% chance, the draw 21% and Santos W 14%, so Palmeiras W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Palmeiras W and 1.0 for Santos W (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Palmeiras W are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.67 for Santos W. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Palmeiras W vs Santos W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Brasileiro Women Predictions