Manchester Utd PPG 2.06
Brentford PPG 1.25Manchester Utd face Brentford in England - Premier League on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Manchester Utd a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Brentford 25%, so Manchester Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Manchester Utd and 1.3 for Brentford (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Manchester Utd are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.25 for Brentford. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +9.2%. This match finished 2-1.
Based on 57 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=46.3%