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Honved vs Soroksar Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 27 ·Monday, April 27, 2026, 18:00

Honved

PPG 2.23 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Soroksar

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 65.2% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-12.2%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-07.9%1-16.1%1-22.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.1%2-18.5%2-23.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-010.3%3-17.9%3-23.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-014.3%4+-111.0%4+-24.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 65.2% 76.9% 1.30 -15.2%

Draw 22.2% 21.1% 4.75 +5.5%

Away win 12.5% 13.3% 7.50 -6.3%

Over 2.5 60.5% 61.7% 1.62 -2.0%

Over 3.5 47.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -29.1%

Bet Hit 44%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 65% / xG 2.8-0.8 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 11.1%

#2 3–0 10.3%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 3–1 7.9%

#5 4–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Honved2.8

Soroksar0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 47.9%

Form & verdict PPG

HONVED · PPG 2.23

SOROKSAR · PPG 0.62

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.23), Away POOR (0.62) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Honved (H) 65.2%

ODDS 1.30 · IMPLIED 76.9% EV -15.2%

Draw 22.2%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +5.5%

Soroksar (A) 12.5%

ODDS 7.50 · IMPLIED 13.3% EV -6.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Honved face Soroksar in Hungary - NB II on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Honved a 65% chance, the draw 22% and Soroksar 13%, so Honved are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Honved and 0.8 for Soroksar (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Honved are averaging 2.23 points per game versus 0.62 for Soroksar. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +5.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Honved vs Soroksar Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB II Predictions