Piast Gliwice PPG 1.29
Arka Gdynia PPG 0.36Piast Gliwice face Arka Gdynia in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Monday, April 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Piast Gliwice a 54% chance, the draw 26% and Arka Gdynia 20%, so Piast Gliwice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Piast Gliwice and 0.9 for Arka Gdynia (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Piast Gliwice are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.36 for Arka Gdynia. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +18.3%. This match finished 4-1.
Based on 47 resolved predictions
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.29) vs P(Home)=53.9%