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Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Sunday, April 26, 2026 22:00 
Wanderers PPG 1.33 
Penarol PPG 2.40
Uruguay - Primera División - Apertura Sunday, April 26, 2026 22:00 Wanderers PPG 1.331-0 MISS
Penarol PPG 2.40Home· +49.0% ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
90% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 50.5% Odds: 2.10 +6.0%
Over 3.5 26.3% Odds: 3.70 -2.7%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.95 +2.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-1 ✘
3rd 0-2 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Wanderers 0.92
Penarol 1.67
Model Suggestion
BTTS +2.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +2.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+49.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+49.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 46%
ROI -42.4%
Bet Hit 29% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
UPSET_VALUE 90%
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home AVERAGE (1.33)