Today / Kornburg vs F. Regensburg

Kornburg vs F. Regensburg Prediction

Bayern Nord - 30 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00

Kornburg

PPG 1.23 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

F. Regensburg

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.23) > Away POOR (0.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.9%0-25.2%0-33.0%0-4+1.9%1 1-05.6%1-19.7%1-28.5%1-34.9%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.5%2-17.9%2-26.9%2-34.0%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.5%3-14.3%3-23.8%3-32.2%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.6%4+-22.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.4% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 40.9% — — —

Over 2.5 65.7% — — —

Over 3.5 43.8% — — —

BTTS 66.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob66.5%

A 41% / xG 1.6-1.7 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1✓ 7.9%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kornburg1.6

F. Regensburg1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.7% · O3.5 PROB 43.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KORNBURG · PPG 1.23

F. REGENSBURG · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.23) > Away POOR (0.71)

Win probability 1X2

Kornburg (H) 36.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

F. Regensburg (A) 40.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kornburg face F. Regensburg on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kornburg a 36% chance, the draw 23% and F. Regensburg 41%, so F. Regensburg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Kornburg and 1.7 for F. Regensburg (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kornburg are averaging 1.23 points per game versus 0.71 for F. Regensburg. This match finished 2-1.

Kornburg vs F. Regensburg Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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