Today / Eltersdorf vs Ingolstadt B

Eltersdorf vs Ingolstadt B Prediction

Bayern Nord - 30 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00

Eltersdorf

PPG 1.85 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Ingolstadt B

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-18.8%0-25.5%0-32.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-09.9%1-112.3%1-27.7%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.9%2-18.7%2-25.4%2-32.3%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.2%3-14.1%3-22.5%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.9%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.6% — — —

Draw 26.0% — — —

Away win 33.5% — — —

Over 2.5 49.5% — — —

Over 3.5 27.6% — — —

BTTS 53.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob53.8%

H 41% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 9.9%

#3 0–1 8.8%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 1–2 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eltersdorf1.4

Ingolstadt B1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 27.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ELTERSDORF · PPG 1.85

INGOLSTADT B · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.85) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Eltersdorf (H) 40.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Ingolstadt B (A) 33.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eltersdorf face Ingolstadt B on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eltersdorf a 41% chance, the draw 26% and Ingolstadt B 34%, so Eltersdorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Eltersdorf and 1.3 for Ingolstadt B (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eltersdorf are averaging 1.85 points per game versus 1.38 for Ingolstadt B. This match finished 3-2.

Eltersdorf vs Ingolstadt B Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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