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Debrecen vs Gyor Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Matchday 31 ·Sunday, April 26, 2026, 17:30

Debrecen

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDLW

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Gyor

PPG 2.07 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWDWW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 60% chance

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.0% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-110.0%0-28.8%0-35.2%0-4+3.4%1 1-06.2%1-111.0%1-29.8%1-35.8%1-4+3.8%2 2-03.4%2-16.1%2-25.4%2-33.2%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.3%3-12.2%3-22.0%3-31.2%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.3% 30.3% 3.30 -9.9%

Draw 28.2% 29.0% 3.45 -2.7%

Away win 44.5% 50.0% 2.00 -11.0%

Over 2.5 59.0% 59.9% 1.67 -1.5%

Over 3.5 32.4% 37.7% 2.65 -14.1%

BTTS 58.5% 64.5% 1.55 -9.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 65%

Score Hit 42%

ROI -12.2%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob58.5%

A 44% / xG 1.1-1.8 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.0%

#2 1–2 9.8%

#3 0–2 8.8%

#4 0–1 10.0%

#5 0–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Debrecen1.1

Gyor1.8

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.0% · O3.5 PROB 32.4%

Form & verdict PPG

DEBRECEN · PPG 1.50

GYOR · PPG 2.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

60%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Debrecen (H) 27.3%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -9.9%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -2.7%

Gyor (A) 44.5%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Debrecen face Gyor in Hungary - NB I on Sunday, April 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Debrecen a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Gyor 45%, so Gyor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Debrecen and 1.8 for Gyor (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Debrecen are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.07 for Gyor. This match finished 1-1.

Debrecen vs Gyor Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB I Predictions