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Nottingen vs Pforzheim Prediction

League logo Germany flag Unknown League Baden-Württemberg - 28 Kleiner-Arena· Remchingen Friday, April 17, 2026 17:00
Nottingen logo Nottingen PPG 1.77
0-2 MISS
Pforzheim logo Pforzheim PPG 1.38
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Nottingen face Pforzheim on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nottingen a 53% chance, the draw 18% and Pforzheim 28%, so Nottingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Nottingen and 2.0 for Pforzheim (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 80% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nottingen are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.38 for Pforzheim. This match finished 0-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.3%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 18.2%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 28.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 84.5% Odds: —
Over 3.5 68.5% Odds: —
BTTS 80.4% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-2
3rd 3-1
4th 3-2
5th 1-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Nottingen
2.69
Pforzheim
1.98

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.77) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)

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