Today / Nottingen vs Pforzheim
Nottingen vs Pforzheim Prediction
Baden-Württemberg - 28 ·Friday, April 17, 2026, 17:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 53% / xG 2.7-2.0 / O2.5 84% / BTTS 80%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 84.5% · O3.5 PROB 68.5%
Form & verdict
NOTTINGEN · PPG 1.77
PFORZHEIM · PPG 1.38
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.77) > Away AVERAGE (1.38)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Nottingen face Pforzheim on Friday, April 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nottingen a 53% chance, the draw 18% and Pforzheim 28%, so Nottingen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Nottingen and 2.0 for Pforzheim (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 80% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nottingen are averaging 1.77 points per game versus 1.38 for Pforzheim. This match finished 0-2.